Abstract
Climate change will modify temperature and precipitation patterns,
which could challenges the farmers for crop production in the coming days.
While scientific studies regarding climate change patterns are essential to
find out the impacts in regards to how the threats are perceived by local
people. This paper intends to determine the extent to which
climate change has caused spatial-temporal changes in temperature and
precipitation that occurs on annual time scales in the Kailali, Chitwan, and
Rautahat district of Nepal. Three focus indigenous groups (Chepang, Tharu,
and Musahar) and a total number of 180 house- holds were interviewed during the
field visit. While a secondary data were collected from the Department of
hydrology and meteorology (DHM), Nepal. Mann-Kendall and Sen’s estimator of
slope test were used to detect possible temperature and precipitation trend and
its magnitude respectively. The findings of the study showed that the trend of
minimum and maximum mean temperatures indicate significantly increased at 5 stations
of three districts. Similarly, the precipitation of the post monsoon seasons is
increasing at 6 stations of three districts. However, pre-monsoon, monsoon, and
winter precipitation have the significant decrease at three districts stations.
These finding results were verified with the people’s perception. This study could
be used for the formulation of effective adaptation plan and policy of climate
change in this region as well as applicable to other related areas.
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